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New truths, fuel for future models

In this age of AI generative content in now all (?) of the mediums, it seems like one of the only things there will be to do in a knowledge economy is write hard truths not yet entered into the models. Hard science that validates models and predictions and personal experiences and feelings in circumstances not yet validated and simulated by the models one has access to.

And that will also be the thing people will continue to be punished for, perhaps more so.

Or, you know, AI could liberate us, UBI could be come a reality, we’ll fully transition and it’ll all be net-zero carbon energy driven adaptation as we watch the temperature arc downward over the next century, building/awaiting our utopia.

I pay for Apple News+ partly because the ad experience is better than the open web. If it weren’t for that, I’d prefer Apple just be a payments middleman negotiating micropayments on the open web. It could be a better walled garden—give me Books features like highlights and notes!

A sigh of relief. I think I have a backlog of something on the order of 15,000 suspended sighs of relief—that is, breaths held—but I let that one rip. And gulped in a new one for the Supreme Court appeal to come.

Snow day

He whose face shall not be posted surveying the National Mall from the bottom of the sledding track on the Senate side.

(Apparently, later, actual Nazis came out. Pretty much since this dude was born, I’ve not gone out to document the actual self-described fascists who come to town, but there have been many. :/ )

Taken from Capitol Hill, a small child’s back is to the viewer, a man with  a snowboard is walking towards us up a slight hill, and the Washington monument is visible in the distance. Everything is covered in snow.

Remembering, and onward

Aaron Swartz, ¡Presente!

A day late, but not forgotten. Far too late, but let me remember James Dolan in this breath too. I corresponded with Aaron briefly, in headier days. I worked alongside James for one evening in DC.

I can’t say I knew them but I saw and understood some of what they were doing and it’s worth.

Tomorrow is the anniversary of Dean Allen’s death.

I benefit today, with gratitude, from things all three built.

State of the World 2024: Ritual and Solidarity

The 25th annual State of the World thread on The Well has commenced. This is one of my favorite rituals. It can get a little hard on the “catastrophizing,” a little digressive, and it isn’t necessarily the most inclusive… it is what it is, and that is part of what makes it interesting. Not necessarily the be-all end-all on the “state of the world,” just this particular group’s (whoever that happens to be at a given time) sense, as much as they can write it out, as much as you or I might chime in, at that moment.

Much of the opening salvo relates to me, as I imagine it does any who have the privilege or wherewithal to look beyond the trenches they’re fighting in day to day.

I appreciate this especially, so far, from JD Work:

I will note that in any of the serious crisis contingencies that I have been involved in overseas, where everything is coming apart at once, those that made it through all shared common characteristic. ... It was those folks who could rely on their communities, and the networks of relationships they had built and nurtured over time, that endured. Even in the worst times.

Fairytale of Gaza

Sky News had a split screen for the funeral of Shane MacGowan and the United Nations Security Council meeting on the UAE resolution for an immediate humanitarian ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas conflict. Sadly, unsurprisingly, we expect the United States to veto this call.

Perhaps these were seen as equal events (make no mistake, I am interested in both) because they’re things one might expect Bono to show up to? (Guess which one he [was actually reported to be]* at!)

The sorrow of Dubliners belting out “Fairytale of New York,” around the funeral procession is nothing compared to the cries of civilians in Gaza as thousands upon thousands of their mothers, fathers, brothers, sisters, sons, and daughters are slain and hundreds of thousands are displaced by an occupying force’s collective punishment and overwrought rage.

Maybe it is a split screen because the United Nations being crippled by the United States again is, this time, a funeral for Gaza.

* It seems to be that ultimately Bono could not attend the funeral, despite Sky's earlier reporting at the Church. A recording of his reading was played amongst appearances from Johnny Depp and Nick Cave and bandmates. ...And after Sky stopped the split screen—in favor of MacGowan's service—I recreated it by putting up BBC World News and Al Jazeera on my laptop while keeping Sky on the TV.

Christmas is the only time my wife lets me pipe jazz over the household Sonos without objection. I make a playlist and sneak in some things that aren’t on swinging Xmas streams—sometimes tracks that aren’t at all seasonal.

Or I let SomaFM do it for me—they love to play.

Adjourned to the porch.

I said “it’s gonna freeze tonight, going to take the hose off, back in a minute.” The hint to the contrary was the whiskey in hand.

My son meets his mortality in a storybook

Tonight we read Dragons Love Tacos 2: The Sequel at bedtime. There’s a point early in the book when a time machine is introduced. You, the reader, are informed that you can go back to when you were a baby or into the future when you’re an old man.

I paused and said to my son, “Someday you will be an old man, isn’t that silly?” Or something like that.

He froze. Then he cautiously said “But I won’t die, will I?” I quickly said, “I don’t think you need to worry about that right now, let’s continue the story…”

He interjected with a cry, “And you won’t need me anymore!" He sobbed.

I think in that moment he realized he might be old and alone, and yes, he might die. And worse, I think he even steered his 4-year-old brain away from the idea that I will die. I hugged him and I said, “I will always need you. I will always love you. You are safe.”

He kept sobbing, I kept holding him and trying to whisper reassurances and we recovered soon and finished the book with laughs.

I wussed out, I think smartly, on dealing with it any more heads-on tonight. I might not be able to punt much longer. He has a hell of a memory and a lock on things that perturb him. I will hear about his or my death from him again soon.

The Hell I do not believe in is real

Children carrying other wounded children.

I’m already incensed, horrified, disgusted at the latest failures of humanity that have produced so many dead children, among so many other dead.

But my pacifist tendencies (the word “tendency” is doing a lot of the work, but it does have a breaking point) are tested at the murder and torture of children (as well as state violence pointed right at me—see, I’m ultimately not a pacifist).

Any response to such to do it ten or one hundred times more is a million times worse.

The Hell I do not believe in for an afterlife is visited upon these children now.

The spookiest thing about my son’s Halloween costume—a monster truck—is the carbon footprint of both the imagined thing, and the construction of the costume itself (so much plastic—but we are re-using a cousin’s costume, so there’s that).

It is, literally, an electric powered thing with a battery pack to light-up the headlights and simulate engine revving noises.

We’ll have fun tonight tearing up and down the sidewalks tongiht during this seemingly (and increasingly) rare reprieve where the weather is appropriately seasonal.

Happy Halloween and welcome to Samhain!

Maybe someday I will again travel solo (and not for work). As it stands, it’s before dawn in Seattle. I am “awake” with my very East Coast time-zoned toddler watching the nth episode of Super Kitties. This has been true for a while already this morning. And sure, I’m still grateful if bleary-eyed.

I believe in truth and reconciliation, full accountability of each and every one of those with power or who exercise violence, and in a zero state solution.

Maybe someday we’ll learn.

On what little patch of Earth will be left that we hope to sustain.

No man is an island

The LEGO bricks are still on the floor this morning. This is a compliance failure and an enforcement failure. I fetched the child’s first yogurt of the morning and issued a warning.

“LEGO that doesn’t get picked up gets sucked up into the vacuum cleaner!” It just happens. I’m not trying to do it. I just can’t guarantee that if you don’t put your LEGO back that we can get all of your LEGO back. That’s your job, son.

A gasp and then a shrug of denial. Quick, change the subject! “Daddy, can I watch some TV?”

I snag the Apple TV remote, waking the device, and notice that Disney+ is already launched. “How about some Bluey?”

The child accedes and the episode already queued up is entitled “Housework.” Karma.

As with all Bluey episodes, whether or not the episode is substantially focused on the topic in the title is kind of beside the point. To oversimplify: Bluey and Bingo are asked to participate in housecleaning—see, child, they have to do it too—and ultimately distract their parents with their silly walks which they then teach their parents. (And ultimately everyone does their fair share of housework. I try not to compare that to us.)

And then I see it, the crucial evidence: a knobby plastic brick in the vacuum cleaner Bluey’s Dad is running! (Rewind. Freeze frame.) There, kid. Consequences are everywhere.

A solemn nod. And then he dove back into his own LEGO pile.

It is time to go to school.

I will pick up the LEGO today when I do all the housecleaning by myself on my island of solitude and LEGO and who the hell knows what else is underfoot?

Coffee rings and Google

I have forgotten, if I ever knew, about how coffee rings form. And Google sucks.

Nearly every morning I pour myself a cup of coffee. Hot, iced, whatever — into a clean vessel, a mug or glass, often straight from the dishwasher having been run the night before. Every time (or every time I think to look) there is instantly a small ring puddle, a footprint of the vessel, on the counter.

I did not spill.

I am not including times when I spill, those times when there’s a splash that hits the counter or when I miss more closely and some hits the rim and flows down the side. You can see it when it happens, and there’s other trace evidence — spatter, traces of rivulet. You might even hear unexpected sounds of unexpected impacts if you’re otherwise attentive in a quiet setting.

I’m supposing some minor mystery of science on which much has been said. One that I am sure I was taught about by Mr. Hall in my 8th Grade Science class (mostly a physics class, where, if nothing else it seemed everything was fair game for a Newtonian force vector diagram).

Off to Google.

The Google results are shit.

The only thing close to an appropriate result is a Quora thread, where someone asks the same thing I am asking and everyone seems to suggest he actually spilled and didn’t know it. Or there was a hairline fracture in his mug. I know I didn’t spill. And I use a wide variety of vessels, none (let alone all) have a hairline fracture. Pigfucker Quora trolls are gaslighting this poor man and me.

There’s some seemingly bullshit answer about condensation, but water from the air would condense on the outside when I have a cold drink. Not coffee. And not with a hot drink in a cold room.

There are a lot of other interesting articles, adjacent but still seemingly irrelevant, about the actual nature of the coffee ring itself: how it’s thicker at the edges and capillary flow and evaporation being the cause. Fine. Many of them specifically suppose one spilled their coffee or describe the effect on the inside of a coffee mug. (Some allege an impact on flavor and enjoyment? I did not check to see if these web sites also had guidance on which crystal to deploy next to my coffee maker or to pair with my eggs.)

Many of these articles seem to appear around the same time as each other because some scientific paper on capillary flow came out or something (I don’t know, I didn’t go that far down the rabbit hole). They have headlines like, “Ever wonder why spilled coffee dries to leave a ring?”

NO! I don’t spill my goddam coffee. I’m wondering how the coffee got there in the first fucking place and I don’t wonder about the actual nature of the ring left behind I always intuited it was something like a capillary effect without so many words Jesus fucking Christ.

Breathe.

I don’t know, maybe I spilled my coffee.

Far up the river, 22 years ago, daydreaming and looking out the window “that’s not how you land at Albany,” or a thought to that effect.

Well that is not where it landed.

I will not forget that, and all the hell that ensued that day and for decades to come. It isn’t over.